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Donald Trump has been on Iran’s assassination list since he ordered Qassem Soleimani turned into a crater in 2020. After Operation Midnight Hammer obliterated Iran’s nuclear program and Operation Epic Fury decimated its military and political leadership, the threats haven’t stopped — they’ve intensified. Banners at Khamenei’s funeral. Assassination plots flagged by Israeli intelligence. The regime that is losing a war it started is increasingly focused on killing the man leading the country that’s winning it.
Full stop. No diplomatic hedging. No carefully worded statement from the National Security Council. Just a direct, unambiguous promise that Iran’s leaders need to read very carefully before they make the worst decision in the history of their regime.
This is deterrence as it’s supposed to work. The entire logic of deterrence rests on making the cost of action so catastrophically clear that rational actors choose inaction. Trump has done in one sentence what thirty years of State Department communiqués failed to accomplish: he has made the consequences of killing an American president specific, credible, and personal.
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