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Vance’s total climbs to 81 electoral votes.
New Hampshire goes tilt Republican for Vance by a razor-thin 0.9 percent—the first GOP win there since George W. Bush in 2000.
Maine’s second congressional district also leans to Vance, though Newsom still carries the state overall by 3-4 points (lean Democratic).
Safe Republican states including Oklahoma, Missouri, Tennessee, Mississippi, and Alabama fall easily, while Newsom holds Massachusetts, Rhode Island, Maryland, D.C., Connecticut (likely by 14 percent), Delaware (likely by 12 percent), Illinois (likely), and New Jersey (lean by 3.4 percent—the closest since 1992).
By the end of the hour, Vance has 178 electoral votes and is “less than 100 away from 270.”
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